Well, at least he’s honest about it! Prescott on Newsnight was destroyed by Paddy Ashdown where he dedicated his No2AV airtime on explaining why the new electoral system is bad for the Labour Party. He didn’t do it very well, of course, because here’s the truth; AV is worse for all three of the big westminster parties under one measure (proportion of first preference votes), and the same under the other (the number of seats parties will actually win.)
For a start, Prescott’s arguments were aimed at the Electoral Reform Bill itself, not the proposed new electoral system; he is cross that Labour aren’t in government (sore loser) and is opposing this bill because he doesn’t like who’s proposing it. Ad Hominem woot.
Next, he said that not having a turnout threshold was undemocratic, despite the fact that Labour have never implemented any such measure when drafting similar constitutional legislation for devolution in both Scotland and Wales.
He went on to claim that AV will deliver more coalitions which is false; it is not any more proportional than FPTP (although it does allow more accurate measurement of what the proportions of votes actually are; since it allows people to express a first preference for the first time.) His parting shot was to claim that the current AV coalition in Australia is evidence that AV delivers coalitions, forgetting that FPTP gave us this one, our current government.
The utter ridiculousness of his partisan and embittered position shocks me, since in the past I have looked on him with mild favour; a politician of the people. Either the unelected chamber has changed him, or he was always this partisan and I didn’t notice.
AV is bad for Labour, as I’ve said, in exactly the same way that it’s bad for the other large parties. The red and blue teams have held on to people’s votes for many years by presenting themselves as the only two options. The rise of the Lib Dems (6.8 million votes in 2010 compared to Labour’s 8.6 million and the Tories’ 10.7 million,) arguably and the Green Party (0.28 million votes) for sure has been artificially reduced by this effect; “so-and-so can’t win here” is shamefully common to all the parties’ campaigning strategies.
Under AV we will see the share of the Green Party and the other small national parties go up, since people will be able to express their first preference support for them while still voting for a candidate who can actually win in their area*; this could well (“accidentally”) see many formerly safe seats come into play, as people’s real first preferences are finally revealed, and tactical voting is finally dead and buried.
Thus, Lord Prescott, while one third of the commons currently gives 50% of votes to a single MP, this is much less likely under AV since people will have much more diverse choice of “viable” candidates to receive their vote; the squeeze tactics which might deliver second preferences and seats will not deliver first preferences any more, and so the under-duress 50% of many MPs will go down the plughole.
I think the difference between AV and FPTP is the same as that between a free and whipped vote in the House of Commons. Under AV, you are free to vote for whomever you like, while still influencing the result; under first past the post you can vote for a longshot candidate but you won’t get anywhere doing so, i.e. by exercising your democratic right you are stripped of it, just as minister who privately opposes a bill has to decide whether to give up their position of power in exchange for trying to block a piece of legislation they oppose.
Come on Lord Prescott, put your partisan hat over there and help give the British Public a free vote on election day. You’ll still win as many seats, and you’ll be able to beat Tories in places you never dreamed before, in exchange for letting people declare that “no, in fact, I am not a Labour Party loyalist, but they can have my 2nd preference, because I prefer them to the Tories.”
* Note that the argument that the Green Party will be able to win more first preference votes doesn’t translate into seats; this isn’t proportional representation. The same goes for the other national small parties; the BNP, UKIP, etc won’t win seats under AV unless lots more people vote for them in one constituency together. This isn’t true for the Welsh and Scottish nationalist parties, nor for Northern Irish politics, where the sheer concentration of votes for parties that are small on a national scale makes seats winnable; this is why they have many more seats (than the Green Party, for example) in the first place, and this won’t change under AV.