Politicomaniac

Posts Tagged ‘Coalition’

Why I will not be leaving the Lib Dems any time soon

Tuesday, July 27th, 2010

Lots of people keep calling me a Tory, some jokingly and some serious. This is getting out of hand (I take great offence to being equated with an arch enemy) and I want to explain why coalition government doesn’t make me (or any other Lib Dem) a Conservative douche-bag.

Let’s go over (one more time) the idea of coalition governments, and deal with why Labour can’t take what happened. When no party secures an outright majority, it is up to the party leaders to negotiate (as the Labour, Green and Nationalist parties agreed, in early May at least.) The priority in general is to create a stable-ish government, perhaps based on confidence and supply; a small number of manifesto concessions in exchange for budget votes. However, in a time of crisis (the War, for example) a coalition is formed, so that multiple parties have input into the running of the situation.

Whether or not you accept that the recession/deficit ”crisis” was such an emergency situation, the latter is preferable to the former because stable government means better value for taxpayers; the bond market is nicer to stable governments than it is to unstable ones. For a coalition to be stable, however, each side needs to know that it won something. The Labour party line is that Lib Dems won nothing, and are helping the Tories be Tories just for ministerial car perks. This is utter nonsense; Lib Dem MPs and Peers would not have voted for this coalition (no votes against, only abstentions) if they didn’t think we had made significant ground.

So why are Labour so insistant? I think the problem is that the Labour party always thought of the “Liberals”, especially after the merger with a Labour splinter group, as a subset of the Labour party. Rebellious, a bit posh, but ultimately socialists deep down, and would only ever side with Labour in a hung parliament. When we negotiated with the Tories, the things we won weren’t things that Labour value; greater personal freedoms and the repeal of state-terror laws, more efficient public services run by people on the ground rather than known-it-alls in Whitehall, a fairer voting system (Labour do the best out of the current status quo,) an elected House of Lords.

These are things that matter a great deal to people who value the fair distribution of power and influence, as well as the fair distribution of wealth, but mean nothing to the power hoarding nonsense-garbling New Labour behemoth. The Lib Dems are in this coalition because the things we won are important to us; just as important as social justice. Labour don’t believe us because they don’t agree.

I will oppose many of the things this Government will do, just as I have opposed some of the Lib Dem leadership’s actions and all the Tory nonsense-mongering in the past — however well Clegg does in taming the Cameron in the next few months or years he still won’t be able to herd this cat! — but, sorry Labour, I will be remaining a Lib Dem because constructive dissent, a good debate and a real argument are what my party is all about. I can quite happily pay my membership subs and deliver focus leaflets while disagreeing with some words or actions of some members; because my voice counts too. If I were to join the red team, I would be drowned in the all consuming ridiculousness that your local members have to put up with; I would no longer be allowed to speak at conference, I would be persecuted by local party officials, and I would be denied access to an affiliated trade union because I work on the wrong side of the arbitrary tribalist barriers erected for some parts of some companies, sometimes.

No thanks, I’m a Lib Dem.

Welfare or work?

Monday, July 19th, 2010

As much as the tabloids like to rant about benefits, there is a very real and important role for welfare in the coming years. Following a recession, the markets belong to the customers, and that includes the job market’s customers – employers. They can hire better people, on lower salaries, with fewer perks than in boom time. This means that the producers in the Market – the unemployed – are even more disadvantaged than before.

This is why the Coalition’s emergency budget has done two things wrong. First, they reduced everyone’s salary by 2.5% by increasing VAT. This makes it even harder for people on the breadline to balance their books, and reduces overall demand and economic activity. Secondly, they are going to reduce the deficit via massive welfare cuts the wrong way.

As IDS is apparently discovering, you can do two things to reduce the overall welfare bill in the medium term. You can toughen up the rules to make unemployment unbearably painful, and thereby causing Thatcher-style civil unrest and increase the incentives for crime (especially for those with children to feed). This is the wrong way.

The right way is to spend more money now; reduce the marginal tax on extra earnings by withdrawing benefits more slowly. This will allow people to keep more of their new income, increasing their spending power, and will also give them more power to accept the tough conditions in the economy at the moment. This, combined with well designed Welfare to Work support for the medium and long term unemployed (as Labour was trying to implement), is how you kill the recession in it’s tracks: VAT and income tax returns will increase, the welfare bill will go down by itself as people join the workforce or earn more, and you achieve what you set out to do; reduce dependency on state funds, the bill for it, and increase the well-being and health of a massive chunk of the population*.

An alternative way might be tougher benefit rules with another tax break, like reducing VAT instead of raising it, but that is less targeted at the unemployed and low earners than slower benefit withdrawal, and so would be more expensive overall.

In short, I hope we don’t end up going about this the wrong way, for the sake of the unemployed and low earners who rely on partial government support to feed their children, for the sake of the economy that will ultimately solve all these problems, and for the sake of the coalitions unity, which will not survive the sort of pain that would be in store if this goes wrong (especially for the Lib Dem MPs who share my sense of leftness.)

* yes, shocking as it is, the long term unemployed often move off JSA and on to incapacity benefit as a result of the drop in health that results from being unemployed for a year or more.

We have found the enemy and they are us.

Saturday, July 10th, 2010

I am increasingly more doubtful that I am in a progressive party. Let’s just review the last couple of months:

  • £1000 increase in the personal allowance, for people like me (who earn too much anyway).
  • A referendum on PR AV. Woop dee doo: another non-proportional electoral system.
  • Anonymity for guys who, half the time*, raped someone. Yea, very feminist…

These were not Tory policies. We won these changes by negotiation. These are the ones I am supposed to be happy about. Bleergh!
Every time I meet lib dem activists, I am struck by how awesome they are (generally relative to my own non-awesomeness.) How can such a sensible, egalitarian, evidence demanding group of people consent to be led by such libertarian surrender-monkeys?! I am starting to be disappointed by this coalition already, Zaphod knows how I’ll feel in 2015.
So, I have compiled a coalition wish list. These are genuine Lib Dem policies that I knew about, argued for and believe(d) in.

  • National insurance numbers instead of names on job applications- let’s see if we can’t make Britain’s boardrooms a little less male and pale.
  • Serious investment in green jobs- I want to see new companies founded in droves on the day of the announcement- and a government contract for the building of a Severn Tidal Barrier (as approved by conference.)
  • VAT back down to 17.5% or lower- Let’s not hit the poorest for ever.
  • An end to detention without charge beyond a day.
  • The selection of a cheaper, smaller nuclear deterrent- let’s not be defined by our radiative penis size.
  • The reinstatement of David Laws to the cabinet.
  • Fixed term parliaments- a real mark on our democracy for generations to come.

I know I won’t get everything on my list, but I want to judge this government on results, not newspaper headlines. We are better at this politics thing than Labour, and while we can’t have it all our own way in government, we can at least try.
We need to prove the skeptics wrong: we do stick to our principals and we are good enough for government. Right?

* literally; false accusations are no more common in rape cases, and the rate overall is about 50%.